S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices | Americas – Owes YOU Money!

May 10, 2012

BOLD statement right? Not really. Here’s why … Everyone refers to the Case-Shiller home price index with out the MOST IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER – ALL REAL ESTATE IS LOCAL!! Bold and CAPS? Yes, it’s that serious. Let me explain … A home value is not a commodity like a can of Coke. A can of Coke costs virtually the same any where in the country (unless you’re in-flight). A house is valued differently from town to town and neighborhood to neighborhood – even though it’s basically the same identical house!

So, while people track the Case-Shiller index, (which include new home starts and national sales) they miss the boat – buyers and sellers. Side note: national sales is silly because it’s not local. New home starts is crazy because in New England, specifically Newton, Brookline, Waltham, Watertown, Arlington, Winchester and all surrounding towns, we really do not have available buildable land, there are relatively no new developments.

What is Case-Shiller worth? Nothing! Nothing as it relates to local home values. It’s really better used to understand workforce production and future employment in the housing industry. Why does the index owe you money? If you’re planning to buy: In many Boston area markets, the tides have turned and we are now in a seller’s market … sorry you missed the bottom (although national news states that we might see it sometime this year). Bidding wars on good properties may be causing you to pay a premium. If you’re a seller: You may have missed a tremendous spring market. Now that people are starting to see the strength of the market more properties are being listed – this creates more competition and downward/ stable pressure on pricing.

Real estate is local … call me if you’d like a local analysis and clear understanding of what is happening with the value of your home or neighborhood. I’m always happy to help (and thanks for listening to my rant).

Below are the sales statistics for the Greater Boston Area for the past three months. (Please note this information is based on a three month rolling average/ quarter compiled from single family and condominium sales.)

First Quarter Real Estate Sales Information for Newton and Greater Boston Year Over Year % Change Units Listed Units Selling Each Month Average Sale Price 2012 (M) Average Sale Price 2011 (M)
Boston 7% 1454 361 $568 $528
Middlesex County -2% 4676 960 $418 $426
Norfolk County -6% 2325 491 $433 $460
Andover 8% 119 35 $557 $510
Allston -9% 21 6 $290 $316
Arlington -7% 87 30 $456 $490
Bedford -2% 47 10 $529 $538
Belmont -26% 66 18 $614 $773
Billerica -1% 132 27 $271 $275
Brookline -8% 175 44 $668 $721
Brighton 6% 71 21 $297 $279
Burlington -3% 59 15 $382 $395
Cambridge -1% 190 50 $581 $587
Concord 31% 114 12 $867 $602
Lexington 12% 141 27 $862 $760
Lincoln -3% 36 5 $770 $791
Natick -12% 111 30 $389 $435
Needham 1% 142 26 $745 $738
Newton -6% 295 58 $764 $807
Somerville 7% 128 33 $415 $385
Sudbury 7% 128 16 $677 $628
Waltham 13% 132 35 $384 $334
Watertown 6% 71 20 $359 $338
Wayland 21% 87 17 $654 $515
Wellesley -35% 126 30 $1,034 $1,392
Weston -51% 85 10 $1,394 $2,107
West Roxbury -17% 120 17 $375 $438

First Quarter Real Estate Sales Information for Newton and Greater Boston

April 15, 2012

Greetings,

Below are the updated sales statistics for Newton and many surrounding towns. Please note, these figures include sales for both single family and condominiums sales in each listed town. The information is based on a 3 month rolling quarter – in this case, we are looking at Q1 of 2012. As you know, real estate is local, so please don’t hesitate to email or call if you have any questions about a specific property or neighborhood – I’d be happy to send you a more specific report.

So, what’s happening in the market? Well, that is a loaded question and it depends on if you are planning to buy or sell.  Boston proper continues to be strong with mixed results in the suburbs.  Despite the general news media, most markets within the route 95 corridor are considered neutral to seller markets.  We are again seeing multiple offer situations on properties that are properly priced and in good condition.  Overpriced properties are seeing the greatest general decline in value as buyers quickly identify them as unmotivated sellers and wait for later opportunities (I.e. time to pass) at which point the sellers become more motivated and willing to accept less.

First Quarter Real Estate Sales Information for Newton and Greater Boston

Year Over Year % Change

Units Listed

Units Selling Each Month

Average Sale Price 2012 (M)

Average Sale Price 2011 (M)

Boston

0%

1291

290

$563

$562

Middlesex County

-5%

3911

826

$413

$433

Norfolk County

-6%

2158

420

$415

$438

Andover

1%

95

28

$499

$492

Allston

-4%

12

4

$305

$317

Arlington

0%

73

25

$449

$450

Bedford

-3%

42

8

$517

$530

Belmont

-22%

71

15

$611

$743

Billerica

-13%

124

19

$266

$300

Brookline

-7%

169

33

$687

$737

Brighton

1%

58

16

$286

$282

Burlington

3%

52

11

$387

$375

Cambridge

-10%

141

40

$578

$634

Concord

18%

97

11

$908

$746

Lexington

-5%

106

25

$773

$809

Lincoln

-7%

28

4

$793

$850

Natick

-7%

102

26

$389

$417

Needham

-1%

126

19

$723

$728

Newton

-16%

233

53

$725

$839

Somerville

3%

97

28

$403

$392

Sudbury

8%

104

14

$641

$587

Waltham

6%

120

31

$357

$337

Watertown

-5%

62

15

$348

$365

Wayland

12%

67

16

$605

$532

Wellesley

-13%

123

21

$1,058

$1,195

Weston

-58%

80

9

$1,512

$2,389

West Roxbury

-7%

105

17

$370

$396

Children’s Miracle Network – Children’s Hospital Boston – 104.1 Radiothon

March 6, 2012

Friday Mike Hughes of our Newton office volunteered at Children’s Hospital Boston. For two days each March the Mix 104.1 Cares for Kids radiothon fills the Boston airwaves with amazing stories of courage and hope from patients, families and staff at the hospital. The DJs broadcast live from the hospital. This year’s event raised $625,000 for this premier institution.

With about 24 other people between 6 and 9AM Mike reports that he was able to raise about $2000 in donations. He noted that although he had been a supporter of the CMN (Children’s Miracle Network), seeing the kids and hearing their stories firsthand “impressed me with the enormous need”. As a father Mike was struck, as any father would be, by the stories he heard. “They could be about my child –
or yours”. He overheard one of the other workers tell a caller to think of the donation as paying into a savings account that needs to be constantly funded to provide care for children in need of critical medical attention.

Mike also reported that the mood was extremely positive and at the same time empathetic and energetic. The DJs interacted with the volunteers and the staff continuously dropped in to share stories and appreciation.

“For many years RE/MAX Leading Edge has been involved with the Children’s Miracle Network and it is so exciting to see other organizations step in to help this outstanding resource we have in Boston for sick children”, commented Mike.

Is it Really A Buyer’s Market? Newton and Greater Boston See “Seller Market Inventory”

February 10, 2012

Another incredible set of numbers.  The Greater Boston area continues to see extremely low inventory levels … levels which typically indicate a seller’s market.  Some towns such as Brookline and Weston continue to outpace the market indicating that higher net worth individuals are moving forward with purchase and home sales.  More importantly, with low inventory levels, sellers are beginning to realize that they may have the upper hand.

With low interest rates and prices off historic highs, buyers should move quickly – before they realize that the ball is not entirely in their court.  (53 new properties were listed yesterday in the Newton, Waltham, Watertown, Arlington and Winchester communities … inventory levels may shift slightly, but with an average 2 month supply of homes, there is a long way to go before we reach levels that typically favor a buyer.)

Please call or email me with any questions about this data or data specific to your neighborhood.

 

Towns / Location Year Over Year % Change Units Listed Units Selling Each Month Average Sale Price 2012 (M) Average Sale Price 2011 (M)
Boston -11% 783 311 $539 $598
Middlesex County -6% 2198 923 $420 $444
Norfolk County -9% 1251 431 $422 $460
Andover -11% 67 21 $443 $492
Allston 13% 7 3 $316 $276
Arlington -4% 49 33 $450 $466
Bedford 15% 22 8 $604 $512
Belmont 12% 29 12 $696 $614
Billerica -15% 95 23 $274 $316
Brookline 2% 68 36 $723 $710
Brighton 7% 21 17 $309 $286
Burlington 7% 36 16 $383 $356
Cambridge -14% 54 58 $583 $665
Concord -3% 35 14 $781 $808
Lexington 5% 44 29 $838 $793
Lincoln -12% 10 2 $677 $755
Natick -5% 51 33 $394 $412
Needham -9% 62 18 $760 $832
Newton -12% 126 57 $693 $775
Somerville -5% 54 23 $409 $431
Sudbury -2% 41 15 $602 $614
Waltham -2% 62 36 $339 $346
Watertown 1% 43 19 $385 $382
Wayland -27% 40 13 $570 $725
Wellesley -3% 48 17 $1,045 $1,081
Weston 17% 39 8 $1,730 $1,430
West Roxbury -1% 36 20 $360 $365

The above information is based on the averages for single family and condominium sales during the past three months.  Data was taked from the Multiple Listing Service Property Information Network (MLSPIN) for Massachusetts.

Greater Boston Home Sale Prices and Real Estate Statistics

January 1, 2012

Happy New Year and welcome to 2012!

At a quick glance, it would appear that the Greater Boston real estate market is down … and it is down compared the same time last year.  However, those who I’ve had the opportunity to personally talk with know that I like to use 2006 as the benchmark for the “best year ever.”  So, compared to 2006, we are only down about 6.5% … Boston proper is UP a whopping 20% and Middlesex and Norfolk counties are collectively down about 10%.

The interesting thing is that some towns are still hitting it out of the park (I.e. Brookline, Lexington, Needham, Weston) while most are simply chugging along at a normal pace.  Also, interest rates continue to remain at record lows and inventories are extremely low (“seller market” levels) with the typical absorption rate slightly less than 2 months.

Buyers are itching for fresh inventory, so if you are planning to sell, now is the time to start your planning.  Call me today for a custom analysis of your home and neighborhood.  (It’s important to note, homes must be in showroom condition to command top dollar.  Although inventories remain low, buyers still perceive the market as a buyers market – in this case, perception creates reality.)

Towns / Location Year Over Year % Change Units Listed Units Selling Each Month Average Sale Price 2011 (M) Average Sale Price 2010 (M)
Boston -6% 604 309 $548 $579
Middlesex County -5% 1897 940 $418 $439
Norfolk County -5% 1119 433 $430 $450
Andover -13% 51 22 $456 $514
Allston 23% 4 3 $324 $249
Arlington -6% 41 35 $451 $477
Bedford 7% 13 10 $551 $511
Belmont -4% 16 16 $635 $660
Billerica -12% 62 24 $283 $317
Brookline 7% 48 35 $736 $683
Brighton 5% 9 17 $295 $280
Burlington 0% 27 18 $379 $379
Cambridge -11% 51 59 $578 $640
Concord 2% 30 15 $798 $786
Lexington 15% 37 27 $839 $717
Lincoln 7% 7 4 $777 $719
Natick -14% 58 39 $384 $437
Needham 3% 58 20 $805 $782
Newton -8% 81 52 $678 $733
Somerville 1% 61 27 $423 $418
Sudbury -17% 41 14 $591 $692
Waltham -3% 63 32 $351 $362
Watertown 5% 35 18 $395 $377
Wayland -6% 39 9 $623 $658
Wellesley 3% 36 17 $1,120 $1,086
Weston 18% 18 8 $1,536 $1,261
West Roxbury -13% 42 19 $347 $391

* All data is taken from the MA Multiple Listing Service (Property Information Network).  Data is compiled based on a rolling 3-month period review of condominiums and single family properties.

Home Price Statistics for Newton, Brookline, Waltham & Surrounding Communities

December 15, 2011

Wow!!  It’s already December (thankfully we haven’t really had to deal with snow yet – if you can block the Oct. storm out fo your memory).  On average, we’re still down 3% – 4% compared to last year and 7% – 10% compared to “the best market ever” – 2006.  I’ll be posting separately regarding the 2011 market, but to sum it up … price and condition were king, and in some cases, location even won over price.  Inventories are low right now, interest rates are freakishly low and buyers are starving for fresh inventory.  Being an election year, 2012 will not likely offer much of a change (price-wise); however, pent up demand will definitely cause well positioned property to move quickly.

As always, these numbers are merely averages (for single and condominium sales), so call or email me if you would like information specific to your neighborhood or home.  I look forward to being of service.

All the best for you this holiday season and throughout 2012!

Towns / Location Year Over Year % Change Units Listed Units Selling Each Month Average Sale Price 2011 (M) Average Sale Price 2010 (M)
Boston -1% 845 322 $545 $548
Middlesex County -5% 2598 1,038 $417 $436
Norfolk County -6% 1569 482 $429 $454
Andover -3% 81 26 $501 $516
Allston 35% 7 4 $328 $213
Arlington -3% 54 38 $457 $471
Bedford -6% 18 11 $523 $552
Belmont -14% 35 18 $627 $715
Billerica -7% 65 24 $292 $313
Brookline 2% 85 38 $754 $742
Brighton -23% 21 16 $266 $326
Burlington -6% 33 16 $389 $413
Cambridge -11% 90 61 $549 $608
Concord -2% 45 16 $762 $777
Lexington 20% 57 27 $815 $656
Lincoln -14% 17 5 $830 $949
Natick -16% 74 46 $390 $452
Needham 11% 85 20 $810 $722
Newton -8% 138 57 $693 $745
Somerville -3% 90 28 $411 $425
Sudbury -16% 49 18 $595 $690
Waltham -3% 84 34 $359 $369
Watertown 1% 52 21 $413 $408
Wayland -10% 53 14 $613 $672
Wellesley 14% 68 19 $1,138 $983
Weston 1% 28 8 $1,270 $1,261
West Roxbury -10% 58 21 $355 $392

 

Newton Home Sale Statistics

November 22, 2011

The below statistics are based on publicly marketed properties (single family properties only) in each of the 13 Newton Villages.  The information is based on a rolling six month timeframe.  The reasoning for this floating timeframe … it allows for a reasonable data set, it’s based on a “normal balanced market” and it’s the approximate average market absorption timeframe.

Real estate is extremely local in Newton, MA.  As you can see below, each village provides a very different price range.  Please feel free to call or email me if you would like to drill down deeper to determine the potential market value of your home – and how to maximize it in today’s market.  I always welcome questions and feedback.

Newton Villages Year Over Year % Change Units Listed Units Selling Each Month Average Sale Price 2011 (M) Average Sale Price 2010 (M)
Middlesex County -1% 3,029 1,096 $435 $440
Newton – Total /Average -2% 178 67 $729 $740
Auburndale -2% 7 4 $668 $683
Chestnut Hill -40% 7 2 $1,299 $1,825
Lower Falls -9% 5 0 $708 $775
Newton Center 8% 22 7 $1,079 $994
Newton Corner 7% 10 4 $974 $903
Newton Highlands 1% 13 5 $755 $744
Newtonville -16% 16 3 $744 $863
Nonantum 43% 6 1 $640 $364
Oak Hill 5% 30 9 $885 $841
Thompsonville -2% 7 3 $669 $684
Upper Falls -24% 3 1 $500 $618
Waban 4% 16 6 $1,020 $977
West Newton -23% 38 7 $722 $891

Keep an eye out for more information on each Village.  Over the coming months, I will be more clearly defining each village and providing market trend information.  (To my knowledge, because of the way that our MLS is designed, this information is not available on any other website.)

Greater Boston Area Home Sale Statistics

November 21, 2011

Greetings,

I hope you have been enjoying the beautiful weather that we’ve been having!  With Thanksgiving just a few days away, we are quickly approaching the new year!  Please let me know if you have any questions about the below information.  As always, the data represents single family and condominium statistics for each town using a “rolling quarter.” (Period ending 11/8/2011) Although these trends are useful, please feel free to call or email me if you have specific questions about your neighborhood.  (A home analysis is much more specific and will typically only include similar properties to the subject property.)

Towns / Location Year Over Year % Change Units Listed Units Selling Each Month Average Sale Price 2011 (M) Average Sale Price 2010 (M)
Boston 3% 976 373 $538 $521
Middlesex County -1% 3029 1,096 $435 $440
Norfolk County -0% 1771 534 $453 $455
Andover -7% 95 33 $527 $562
Allston 24% 8 6 $320 $244
Arlington -5% 63 40 $456 $477
Bedford -2% 28 12 $549 $560
Belmont -8% 45 22 $627 $677
Billerica -10% 82 25 $284 $311
Brookline -1% 106 51 $710 $716
Brighton -17% 35 23 $269 $316
Burlington -9% 49 15 $400 $434
Cambridge -8% 104 68 $533 $574
Concord -6% 57 21 $800 $846
Lexington 14% 83 32 $817 $699
Lincoln -13% 18 5 $851 $958
Natick -3% 87 45 $408 $419
Needham 12% 86 27 $830 $727
Newton -2% 178 67 $729 $740
Somerville 2% 110 37 $403 $394
Sudbury -7% 54 18 $658 $703
Waltham -3% 89 34 $359 $368
Watertown 2% 58 16 $424 $417
Wayland 1% 64 16 $592 $587
Wellesley 29% 92 22 $1,287 $915
Weston -1% 45 11 $1,229 $1,245
West Roxbury -17% 74 21 $338 $397

Data provided by MA Multiple Listing Service Property Information System (MLSPIN)

Greater Boston Real Estate Statistics – Including Newton, Brookline Waltham & Surrounding Communities

October 17, 2011

How’s the market?  It really depends …

As always, real estate is local and so are market conditions.  Generally speaking, the real estate market is great if you’re a buyer.  I strongly believe that countless people will be kicking themselves 3, 5 and 10 years from now when they realize the missed opportunity in the way of historically low interest rates and general housing prices.  (By the way, if you’re a buyer waiting for the market to bottom out, you missed it.  Some areas are far exceeding the prices of 2006.  For example, Brookline, MA has an average sale price that is approximately 18% higher than the “peek” prices of 2006!)

Sellers are having a more competitive time.  To win in this market, you basically need to have your home in top condition and showcase ready.  Otherwise, you will sit.  Buyers are very picky, a bad layout or property that needs too much work can be the kiss of death.  Call or email me for a comprehensive “preparing your home”  checklist.  I’m also available for no obligation pricing analysis.

The below information is taken from the Multiple Listing Service (MLS PIN) for the period ending 10/7/2011 – based on a rolling 3-month quarter.  Averages are based on the compilation of single family and condominium statistics.  I welcome you to share your thoughts, opinions and questions.

Have a great October!

Towns / Location Year Over Year % Change Units Listed Units Selling Each Month Average Sale Price 2011 (M) Average Sale Price 2010 (M)
Boston 3% 1095 437 $539 $521
Middlesex County -1% 3560 1,286 $459 $464
Norfolk County 4% 1932 635 $504 $483
Andover -5% 98 41 $542 $569
Allston 19% 7 8 $325 $262
Arlington -11% 82 55 $456 $508
Bedford -14% 36 14 $544 $618
Belmont -1% 46 27 $692 $697
Billerica -7% 107 27 $286 $306
Brookline 7% 136 73 $847 $784
Brighton -11% 46 27 $274 $304
Burlington -2% 56 15 $415 $422
Cambridge -8% 124 91 $543 $584
Concord 0% 60 22 $810 $806
Lexington 8% 107 41 $824 $757
Lincoln 3% 24 6 $981 $951
Natick 2% 104 49 $424 $417
Needham -0% 98 35 $794 $795
Newton -6% 223 86 $755 $803
Somerville 4% 110 49 $416 $399
Sudbury 7% 73 26 $720 $669
Waltham -1% 110 40 $364 $366
Watertown -5% 58 17 $400 $420
Wayland 4% 61 19 $643 $617
Wellesley 26% 103 30 $1,280 $948
Weston -6% 42 14 $1,223 $1,296
West Roxbury -4% 76 25 $362 $378

Newton MA Real Estate & Greater Boston Sales Statistics

September 9, 2011

Greetings, I hope this post finds you well!

Fall is in the air and the real estate market (prices) is all over the place.  Some towns are doing extremely well while other are doing worse than ever.  Take a look and let me know if you have any questions.  As always, I am happy to prepare a custom report for your home or neighborhood.  Also, keep an eye out for the first ever Newton Village Report.  It will outline the price averages by village – until now, brokerages have only achieved this by ZIP code comparison – my analysis will drill down to the street level.

Call or email me anytime – I’d love to hear from you!

Towns / Location

Year Over Year % Change

Units Listed

Units Selling Each Month

Average Sale Price 2011 (M)

Average Sale Price 2010 (M)

Boston

4%

1063

508

$545

$521

Middlesex County

0%

3555

1,430

$477

$475

Norfolk County

3%

1846

689

$515

$502

Andover

-3%

118

46

$560

$579

Allston

12%

11

10

$315

$277

Arlington

-5%

83

61

$477

$503

Bedford

-9%

37

15

$568

$621

Belmont

1%

30

29

$702

$693

Billerica

2%

119

28

$296

$291

Brookline

9%

116

90

$824

$749

Brighton

-1%

46

32

$276

$280

Burlington

-3%

56

18

$401

$413

Cambridge

-7%

129

108

$576

$617

Concord

-14%

59

28

$803

$917

Lexington

0%

95

55

$816

$813

Lincoln

14%

19

5

$985

$850

Natick

8%

97

51

$447

$413

Needham

-1%

74

39

$776

$780

Newton

-1%

186

103

$768

$777

Somerville

3%

102

61

$414

$401

Sudbury

11%

60

29

$754

$674

Waltham

-4%

108

45

$364

$378

Watertown

-10%

58

24

$368

$403

Wayland

-2%

57

20

$646

$657

Wellesley

11%

84

40

$1,216

$1,081

Weston

2%

56

17

$1,212

$1,192

West Roxbury

-7%

68

32

$375

$403

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